BCREA 2019 Second Quarter Housing Forecast: BC Home Sales to Rise in 2020

Jun 18, 2019

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Posted by
Cameron Muir

To view the BCREA Housing Forecast PDF, click here.

Vancouver, BC - June 18, 2019. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) released its 2019 Second Quarter Housing Forecast today.

Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) residential sales in the province are forecast to decline 9 per cent to 71,400 units this year, after recording 78,346 residential sales in 2018. MLS® residential sales are forecast to increase 14 per cent to 81,700 units in 2020. The 10-year average for MLS® residential sales in the province is 84,300 units.

"The shock to affordability from restrictive mortgage policies, especially the B20 stress test, will continue to limit housing demand in the province this year," said Cameron Muir, BCREA Chief Economist. "However, a relatively strong economy and favourable demographics are likely creating pent-up demand in the housing market."

The inventory of homes for sale has climbed out of a cyclical low, leading to balanced market conditions in many areas and buyer's market conditions in some communities and across some products types. Current market conditions are expected to provide little upward pressure on home prices this year, with the average annual residential price forecast to remain essentially unchanged, albeit down 2 per cent to $697,000. Modest improvement in consumer demand is expected to unfold though 2020, pushing the average residential price up 4 per cent to $726,000.

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For the complete news release, including detailed statistics, click here.

For more information, please contact:
Cameron Muir
Chief Economist
Direct: 604.742.2780
Mobile: 778.229.1884
Email: [email protected]

Brendon Ogmundson
Deputy Chief Economist
Direct: 604.742.2796
Mobile: 604.505.6793
[email protected]

Kellie Fong
Economist
Direct: 778.357.0831
Mobile: 604-366-6511
[email protected]

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