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BCREA 2026 Third Quarter Housing Forecast Update

Multiple Listing Service® residential sales in BC are forecast to fall 1.2 per cent to 69,325 units this year.

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May 15, 2025

What Comes After Uncertainty? The Next Phase in BC's Housing Market

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May 15, 2025

What Comes After Uncertainty? The Next Phase in BC's Housing Market

Author profile photo
By Brendon Ogmundson,
Chief Economist
Author profile photo
By Brendon Ogmundson,
Chief Economist
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To view the full interactive BCREA Market Intelligence, click here.

To view the latest Market Intelligence report PDF, click here.

Summary of Findings:

  • Uncertainty related to the threat of tariffs has depressed home sales through the first quarter of 2025. 
  • As that uncertainty subsides, the path of sales activity will depend on the prevailing tariff regime and the ultimate impact of tariffs on the economy.
  • A strong monetary policy response from the Bank of Canada could counteract the negative impact of tariffs, leading to a stronger, faster housing market recovery. 

The economic uncertainty engendered by the stochastic trade policy of the United States under President Donald Trump has upended what was set to be a return to normalcy in the British Columbia housing market. However, that uncertainty, while still elevated, appears to be subsiding. So, what comes next?

In this Market Intelligence report, we’ll explore some potential scenarios for the BC housing market amidst a cloudier-than-usual outlook.

For more information, please contact:  

Brendon Ogmundson
Chief Economist
Direct: 604.742.2796
Mobile: 604.505.6793
Email: [email protected]

Amit Sidhu
Economist
Direct: 604.677.9345
Email: [email protected]

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